** AWARDS ISSUED PRIOR TO JANUARY 20, 2025, WERE FUNDED UNDER PREVIOUS ADMINISTRATIONS AND MAY NOT REFLECT THE PRIORITIES AND POLICIES OF THE CURRENT ADMINISTRATION.** TRANSMISSION OF FOREIGN ANIMAL DISEASES, SUCH AS FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE AND AFRICAN SWINE FEVER, COULD POSE A SIGNIFICANT RISK TO US LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS. CURRENT APPROACHES US ANIMAL HEALTH AUTHORITIES USE TO MANAGE THIS RISK AND THE BEHAVIORAL RESPONSES OF LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS TO THESE POLICIES ARE NOT WELL UNDERSTOOD IN AN INTEGRATIVE WAY. THE OVERARCHING GOAL OF THIS PROJECT IS TO BETTER UNDERSTAND AND PREDICT THE RISK OF FOREIGN ANIMAL DISEASE TRANSMISSION AMONG LIVESTOCK HERDS IN THE US. WE WILL TEST ALTERNATIVE INTERVENTIONS AND ALTERNATIVE SEQUENCES OF INTERVENTIONS, WHILE DETERMINING THE EXPECTED BEHAVIORAL RESPONSES OF LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS TO THESE INTERVENTIONS. WE WILL TEST MULTIPLE HYPOTHESES WITH THE GOAL OF IDENTIFYING INTERVENTIONS THAT IMPROVE THE ALIGNMENT OF ECONOMIC INCENTIVES, INCREASE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF RISK COMMUNICATION, AND ENHANCE VOLUNTARY SURVEILLANCE OF FOREIGN ANIMAL DISEASE AT MINIMAL COST TO TAXPAYERS AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS. OUR THREE RESEARCH OBJECTIVES ARE THE FOLLOWING: (1) WE WILL DESIGN AND TEST A NOVEL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) MODEL TO SIMULATE TRANSMISSION OF TWO FOREIGN ANIMAL DISEASES (FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE AND AFRICAN SWINE FEVER) IN THE US LIVESTOCK SECTOR. (2) WE WILL CONDUCT SURVEYS OF LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS AND IMPLEMENT ONLINE EXPERIMENTAL GAMES TO CALIBRATE THE REPRESENTATION OF HUMAN BEHAVIOR IN THE AI MODEL AND TEST ALTERNATIVE POLICY CONFIGURATIONS. (3) WE WILL HARNESS BOTH SURVEY AND AI MODEL DATA TO IDENTIFY COMBINATIONS OF RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES AND LEVERAGE POINTS IN LIVESTOCK SUPPLY CHAIN NETWORKS THAT MINIMIZE RISK OF SPREADING FROM LIVESTOCK DISEASES. THE FINDINGS FROM THIS PROJECT WILL HELP TO SET AND CALIBRATE LIVESTOCK RISK MANAGEMENT POLICIES (E.G., US FARM BILLS), PROVIDE TARGETED GUIDANCE TO NATIONAL AND REGIONAL VETERINARY HEALTH OFFICIALS, AND GENERATE OPEN SOURCE KNOWLEDGE FOR LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS TO CALCULATE ECONOMIC COSTS FOR BIOSECURITY RISK MANAGEMENT INTERVENTIONS AT BOTH FARM AND MARKET LEVELS. THIS PROJECT WILL PROVIDE POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS TO LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS AND POLICY MAKERS FOR IMPROVING THE PREVENTION AND CONTROL OF FOREIGN ANIMAL DISEASES, ENHANCING BIOSECURITY, AND INCREASING USDA CAPACITY TO FORECAST AND RESPOND TO OUTBREAKS OF HIGH CONSEQUENCE DISEASES.@FONT-FACE{PANOSE-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4;MSO-FONT-CHARSET:0;MSO-GENERIC-MSO-FONT-PITCH:VARIABLE;MSO-FONT-SIGNATURE:-536870145 1107305727 0 0 415 0;}P.MSONORMAL, LI.MSONORMAL, DIV.MSONORMAL{MSO-STYLE-UNHIDE:NO;MSO-STYLE-QFORMAT:YES;MSO-STYLE-PARENT:;MARGIN:0IN;MSO-PAGINATION:WIDOW-ORPHAN;;MSO-FAREAST-}P{MSO-STYLE-PRIORITY:99;MSO-STYLE-QFORMAT:YES;MSO-MARGIN-TOP-ALT:AUTO;MARGIN-RIGHT:0IN;MSO-MARGIN-BOTTOM-ALT:AUTO;MARGIN-LEFT:0IN;MSO-PAGINATION:WIDOW-ORPHAN;;MSO-FAREAST-}.MSOCHPDEFAULT{MSO-STYLE-TYPE:EXPORT-ONLY;MSO-DEFAULT-PROPS:YES;MSO-ASCII-MSO-ASCII-THEME-FONT:MINOR-LATIN;MSO-FAREAST-MSO-FAREAST-THEME-FONT:MINOR-LATIN;MSO-HANSI-MSO-HANSI-THEME-FONT:MINOR-LATIN;MSO-BIDI-MSO-BIDI-THEME-FONT:MINOR-BIDI;}DIV.WORDSECTION1{PAGE:WORDSECTION1;}