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WARMER SPRINGS AND DRIER SUMMERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE C02 UPTAKE OF TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS BY LENGTHENING THE GROWING SEASON BUT REDUCE SUMMER UPTAKE THROUGH WATER STRESS. 0NE OF THE KEY CHALLENGES IN CARBON CYCLE SCIENCE IS DETERMINING THE BALANCE OF THESE PROCESSES HOW THEY ARE COUPLED THROUGH CARBON-WATER CYCLE INTERACTIONS AND THE IMPACT ON ATMOSPHERIC C02 CONCENTRATIONS. THE CARBON UPTAKE RESPONSE TO SEASONAL WARMING AND DRYING IS UNCERTAIN BUT APPEARS TO BE INCREASINGLY DEPENDENT ON AVAILABILITY OF LIQUID WATER IN SOILS WHICH IS LIMITED PRIMARILY BY WATER SCARCITY IN WARM TEMPERATE CLIMATES AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN COLD NORTHERN CLIMATES AND MODULATED BY DROUGHT AND THAWING/FREEZING PROCESSES RESPECTIVELY. THEIR INTERACTIVE EFFECTS WITH C02 PHOTOSYNTHETIC GAIN (GPP) AND RESPIRATION LOSS (ER) SHOWS HIGH SEASONAL SPATIAL AND BIOME DEPENDENCE. HERE WE PROPOSE TO EXPLOIT AN EXPANDING SET OF MULTI-SCALE CARBON AND WATER CYCLE OBSERVATIONS WITH STATE-OF-THE-ART LAND AND ATMOSPHERE MODELS TO INVESTIGATE THE RESPONSE OF SEASONAL PHENOLOGY C02 EXCHANGE AND ATMOSPHERIC C02 TO SPRING WARMING SOIL THAW AND LIQUID WATER AVAILABILITY SINCE 2002. WE WILL USE A COUPLED HYDROSPHERE-BIOSPHERE-ATMOSPHERE ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK FOCUSING BROADLY ON NORTH AMERICA (NA) AND SPECIFICALLY ON CLIMATE SENSITIVE SEMI-ARID AND ARCTIC-BOREAL ECOSYSTEMS. WE SEEK TO ANSWER THE FOLLOWING CRITICAL SCIENCE QUESTION: "HOW HAS TERRESTRIAL CARBON UPTAKE IN PARTICULAR GPP AND ER EVOLVED IN THE PAST DECADE AND WHAT HAS BEEN THE IMPACT ON ATMOSPHERIC C02 CONCENTRATIONS?" 0UR WORK LEVERAGES NEW AND EXISTING TOWER MEASUREMENTS OF SOLAR INDUCED CHLOROPHYLL FLUORESCENCE (SIF) IN NA TO EXPLOIT NASA'S UNIQUE ARRAY OF SATELLITE VEGETATION REMOTE SENSING DATA TO (1) ESTABLISH THE MECHANISTIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SIF AND GPP ACROSS DIVERSE BIOMES AS A FUNCTION OF OPTIMIZED LIGHT USE EFFICIENCY (LUE) AND SIFYIELD PARAMETERS AND (2) REFINE AND CALIBRATE EXISTING (SCIAMACHY G0SAT G0ME-2 0C0-2) AND PLANNED (TR0P0MI) SATELLITE SIF OBSERVATIONS FOR BROADER INTEGRATED ANALYSIS OF LONG TERM VARIABILITY. WE WILL INCORPORATE SIF OPTIMIZED LUE WITH OBSERVED ENVIRONMENTAL THRESHOLDS (SMAP AMSR) AND VEGETATION CONSTRAINTS (M0DIS) INTO THE SMAP CARBON MODEL (L4C) TO ELUCIDATE STRUCTURAL (EVI) FUNCTIONAL (SIF) AND ENVIRONMENTAL (SOIL MOISTURE FREEZE/THAW VAPOR PRESSURE DEFICIT TEMPERATURE) CONTROLS ON SEASONAL COMPONENT C02 FLUXES (GPP ER) AND ANNUAL C02 BALANCE (NEE) IN NA. WE WILL EVALUATE SMAP C02 FLUXES AGAINST INDEPENDENT CONSTRAINTS FROM UPSCALED FLUX TOWER DATA (FLUXC0M) AND PROPAGATE TO ATMOSPHERIC C02 FOR VALIDATION (G0SAT 0C0-2 N0AA) AND ANALYSIS OF LONG TERM (2002-2018) IAV OF C02 ANNUAL GROWTH AND SEASONAL CYCLE AMPLITUDE. WE WILL ALSO INCORPORATE OUR FINDINGS INTO THE PROGNOSTIC COMMUNITY LAND MODEL (CLM) BY PARAMETERIZING PHENOLOGICAL PROCESSES (TIME LAG BETWEEN LEAF OUT AND PHOTOSYNTHETIC ONSET) AND TESTING THE IMPACT ON SEASONAL C02 FLUX AND SUMMER WATER AVAILABILITY. THIS INVESTIGATION IS CAPTURED IN THREE OBJECTIVES: QUANTIFY 2002-2018 INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY IN SPRING AND FALL PHENOLOGY C02 FLUXES AND ATMOSPHERIC C02 IN NORTH AMERICA ASSOCIATED WITH SPRING WARMING AND SUMMER DRYING; IDENTIFY THE CRITICAL WATER AVAILABILITY THRESHOLDS THAT SHIFT THE BALANCE OF PHOTOSYNTHETIC AND RESPIRATION C02 FLUXES IN VULNERABLE CLIMATE SENSITIVE BIOMES; AND DEMONSTRATE THE POWER OF COMBINING STRATEGICALLY COORDINATED TOWER SIF MEASUREMENTS WITH NASA SATELLITE SIF AND C02 PRODUCTS TO MONITOR SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL GPP VARIATIONS. THE PROPOSED INVESTIGATION DEPENDS STRONGLY ON REMOTE SENSING DATA AND ANALYSIS OF LONG TERM VARIABILITY INVOLVES MULTIPLE DISPARATE DISCIPLINES OF THE EARTH SCIENCES AND ADDRESSES A KEY IDS THEME: PARTITI0NING 0F CARB0N BETWEEN THE ATM0SHPERE AND BI0SPHERE

$264,394FY2020National Aeronautics and Space AdministrationNASA

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