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Understanding and Monitoring Abrupt Climate Change and its Impacts

$40,000FY2013GEONSF

National Academy Of Sciences, Washington DC

Investigators

Abstract

The term tipping point has been used to describe elements of the Earth system that might, in the face of changing climate, behave non-linearly, irreversibly, or both. This study will address the likelihood of various physical components of the Earth system to undergo major and rapid changes (i.e., abrupt climate change) and, as time allows, examine some of the most important potential associated impacts and risks. This study will explore how to monitor climate change for warnings of abrupt changes and emerging impacts and examine gaps in our current scientific understanding and monitoring capabilities.

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