The Asian-Australian Monsoon Variability and Predictability Studied Using Physical Decomposition

Florida State University, Tallahassee FL

Investigators

Abstract

This project will employ cyclostationary empirical orthogonal functions (CsEOFs) to analyze variability of the Asian-Australian monsoon. This technique, pioneered by the P.I. in recent years, provides an alternative method of analyzing space-time variability. The project is to include the development of statistical forecasts, and the analysis of modes of variability in atmospheric and coupled ocean-atmosphere simulations. This research is expected to lead to an improved predictability of Asian monsoon variability, and provide significant societal benefit by offering greater lead times to prepare for drought and floods. The impact on agriculture could be highly significant. Three graduate students will be supported by this award.